Week 13 Recap: Thanksgiving Weekend provided much to be thankful for as I went 17-6 overall and blew past the $300 earnings target with a current total of $415.88 on the year. Heading into Championship week we currently hold a 65% win percentage and I am now looking to hit $500 by bowl season.
As a note, all wagers are at -110 odds and I make the majority of my plays
the morning after opening lines have been released.
Visit http://www.vegasinsider.com for updated points and spreads.
Buffalo (-3) vs Northern Illinois (Can two Huskies win conference titles on the same night? I would potentially believe so, if the one’s from Illinois weren’t limping in on an ugly two game losing streak. Final: UofB-31 NIU- 13)
Washington (-3) vs Utah (These Huskies beat the Utes in Utah by 14 early in the season. That was also when Utah had a healthy quarterback. Final: UW-21 UofU- 10)
Texas (+8.5) vs Oklahoma (Oklahoma’s defense couldn’t stop a team of second-graders and there is nothing more the Longhorns want than to spoil OU’s CFP chances. This isn’t a Texas team that gets blown out by two scores typically. Final: Oklahoma- 95 Texas- 92)
Louisiana Lafayette (+18.5) at Appalachian State (In the inaugural Sun Belt Championship, I’ll look for the Ragin’ Cajuns to at least keep things respectable. APST- 38 LLU- 24)
Middle Tennessee State (EVEN) vs UAB (Play this one at a neutral site and I like the Blazers. The Blue Raiders are 5-0 at home however and just beat UAB by 24. Final: MTSU-28 UAB- 20)
Memphis (+7.5) at UCF (Losing McKenzie Milton immeadiately makes UCF an unbalanced offense. Replacement QB Darriel Mack did little to quell my concerns with a 35% completion percentage in the second half against USF. Final: Memphis-35 UCF-33.)
Alabama (-10) vs Georgia (This game opened at 10 and has since jumped up to 13. The Tide should roll against the Dawgs and Tau will make his final Heisman push with a stellar performance against a defense that has flaws in its secondary. Final: BAMA-31 UGA- 17)
Clemson (-21) vs Pitt (The Panthers looked pitiful in their 21-point loss against Miami. Clemson should feast on Pitt’s inability to throw the ball downfield. Final: CLEM-49 PITT- 20)
Boise State (-1.5) vs Fresno State (The Mountain West could provide the most entertaining championship game, with both teams rolling in at 10-2. I feel obligated to always pick the Bronco’s when playing on their Smurf Turf. Final: BSU-27 FSU- 23)
Ohio State (-13) vs Northwestern (The Buckeye’s have the easiest conference title game out of the CFP hopefuls… except of course for Notre Dame… and Clemson. Their dominance over Michigan will be quickly overlooked by the committee if they can’t a hang a two score win over the Wildcats. Final: OSU-44 NW- 13)
Alabama vs Georgia (Under 67.5) (I have this game falling between 48-54 points which sits safely below the opening point total.)
Oklahoma vs Texas (Over 74.5) (Yeah… this game might have 100+ combined.)
Clemson vs Pitt (Over 51.5) (Clemson might put up 50 points on their own. Only concern here is a chance of rain in Charlotte but even then 60-70 points should be manageable.)
College Gameday Pick ’em:
Alabama- 31 Georgia- 17 (Georgia will need to apply pressure and hope to hang around into the fourth quarter. Both defenses are tough but Bama should be able to pull away late.)
Overall: 65-38 (63%)