NCAA March Madness: 1st Round

Picks for the 1st Round of March Madness


Overview: After a successful college football season, I took a brief break from betting… only to make my MJ-esque return for the NCAA College Basketball Tournament. For this edition, I will be picking a mix of spreads, points, and props. The college football season was bountiful.. with $500+ in profits and a win rate of 65%. One can only hope that we unpredictable lands of basketball in March can be just as fruitful. 

Prop bets for fun with money at the listed line. Straight bets placed at the odds set on

Visit for updated points and spreads.


Yale (+8.5) vs LSU (What’s the difference between a Yale basketball player and an LSU basketball player? One was paid to play and the other paid to play.)

New Mexico State (Money Line +275) vs Auburn (The line on this game is too tempting to pass. I’m not sold on NMSU and Auburn is on fire after winning the SEC but Virginia looked on fire last year when they entered the tournament after winning the ACC…)

Kansas (-8) vs Northeastern (For everyone picking this upset.. please remember that Northeastern lost more games playing in the Colonial Athletic Conference then Kansas lost playing in the Big 12.)

Murray State (Money Line +195) vs Marquette (Ja Morant and the Racers have won 11 straight and are under-seeded with a 27-4 record. Marquette has lost 5 of their last 6 and are a foul prone team limping into the tournament.)

Florida vs Nevada (Over 132) (The real question here is whether a wolf pack can beat a pack of gators. Final score: 77 – 74 = more than 132.)

Villanova (-5) vs St Mary’s (Shocked when I saw this line at the open. I understand Nova doesn’t have the fire power of the past few seasons but I trust any Jay Wright-coached squad to win a first rounder by more than 5.)

Montana (+17.5) vs Michigan (Last year the Griz led UofM 10-0 two minutes into their first round matchup. I expect the Maize and Blue to be a little more prepared this time but watch out for the Big Sky champs to hang around like Grizzlies at a campsite,)


Virginia (-23.5) vs Gardner Webb (I can’t believe I’m taking Virginia here to cover 23 points considering what UMBC did to the Cavs last season. That being said, is there any way you don’t take Virginia here considering what UMBC did to the Cavs last season?)

UC Irvine (+5.5) vs Kansas State (Disclaimer: This bet is being made solely on the grounds that I have never put money on a team called the Anteaters before.)

VCU (+1) vs UCF (Not sure I’ve never heard so many people hype up a player that barely averages 10 points/game and 7 rebounds. Tacko Fall might be 7’6 but he’s obviously not using that height too well.)

UNC vs Iona (Under 167) (This just seems like a crazy amount of points for a game that could be a blowout early. Even if the Heels drop a Ben Franklin on the Gaels I think this one settles around 160.)


4-Seed Makes the Final Four (+450) (Florida State, Kansas, Virginia Tech, and Kansas State are all teams that could either lose in the first round…. or win their region.)

A Double-Digit seed makes the Elite Eight (+500) (Belmont? Murray State?? Oregon??? THE ANTEATERS????)

At least one 2-Seed loses in the first weekend (+350) (I really like this bet and these odds. Michigan could play Nevada. MSU could play Louisville. Tennessee could play Cincy. UK could play Wofford. Alright maybe should have stopped after Tennessee but you get the point.)

Cincinnati wins the South Region (+1400) (Obviously this is a bit of a long-shot, hence the odds but hear me out. Cincy is the scrappiest team in the tournament and will play the first weekend practically at home. The south region is weak and no team except for  Tennessee has the athletes to match what the Bearcats will put on the floor.)