College Football Picks: Bowl Season

Champ Week Recap: A 7-7 week led to my first loss of money on the year but it’s not my fault the Conference titles were disappointingly boring. No upsets and we even have to live with another month of UCF fans clamoring about wanting Bama. With bowl season upon us, I plan to place bets on each of the games with the hope of hitting the $500 target that eluded me last week.

As a note, all wagers are at -110 odds and I make the majority of my plays

the morning after opening lines have been released. Visit www.vegasinsider.com for updated points and spreads.

Utah State (-7.5) vs North Texas (I’ve picked Utah State to cover spreads all season and they have repaid me with impressive performances.)

Louisiana Lafayette (+5.5) vs Tulane (Tulane looks to be the better team on paper but six points seems like a stretch for this game.)

Fresno State (-3) vs Arizona State (The MWC champs have been one of the most consistent FBS squads this year. Herm Edwards will be without his top offensive playmaker N’Keal Harry.

Georgia Southern (+1.5) vs EMU (In this battle of the Eagles, I’ll take the team with the 9th best rushing offense over the one with the 93th best rush defense.)

Appalachian State (-6.5) vs Middle Tennessee St. (I like App State to win the game by a wide margin. MTSU isn’t bad but their defense is porous and Zac Thomas is a talented passer.)

UAB (-1.5) vs NIU (In bowl games I tend to pick the better defense. UAB holds a slight edge which gives them the upper hand.)

Ohio (-2.5) vs San Diego State (Ohio is surging, winning six of seven while SDSU will limp in with a three game losing streak.)

Marshall (+2) vs South Florida (In what is a home game for USF, Marshall is my pick due to more consistency and better defensive play.)

FIU (+6.5) vs Toledo (QB James Morgan has been on a tear for the Panthers with am 18-3 TD/INT ratio over his last 8 games. Toledo also boasts a balanced attack and I expect this one to be close.)

Western Michigan (+14.5) vs BYU (The Cougs should beat the Broncos but i’ll take the points in a spread this wide during bowl season.)

Memphis (-2.5) vs Wake Forest (Wake has been a roller coaster of a team which doesn’t bode well heading into a matchup against the offensive power Memphis has.)

Army (-3) vs Houston (Houston has the worst defense of any bowl team and will be without the services of star DE Ed Oliver and QB D’Eriq King. Army is a disciplined team that should wear down the Cougars.)

Buffalo (-2.5) vs Troy (I am looking for 6’7 monster Tyree Jackson to wear down the Trojan’s defense and help the Bulls pull away in the fourth.)

LA Tech (EVEN) vs Hawaii (Hawaii has a strong offense but wow is their defense rough. I’ll take Tech to get the win on the Warriors home soil. )

Boise State (-3) vs Boston College (Boise State should have enough offensive firepower to take down the Eagles who struggle to put up points.)

Georgia Tech (-3) vs Minnesota (In Paul Johnsons final game, Minnesota’s 76th ranked run defense struggles to stop the triple option.)

TCU (EVEN) vs Cal (The Golden Bears can play D but their offense is one of the worst in the country. Give me Coach Patterson and the Horned Frogs in this low scoring battle.)

Temple (-3) vs Duke (The only time I was successful picking Duke was when they only lost by 29 to Clemson. Temple has more talent and should be more motivated against the Blue Devils.)

Wisconsin (+5) vs Miami (In the “Underachiever Game of the Year” Wisco running the ball in freezing Yankee stadium seems like decent odds to me.)

Vanderbilt (-2.5) vs Baylor (Vandy closed out the season 3-1 to become bowl eligible and should take advantage of Baylor losing top receiver Jalen Hurd.)

Auburn (-3.5) vs Purdue (At different points this season both of these teams looked like they should be playing in a bigger game than the Music City Bowl. Obviously neither played up to their potential.)

Syracuse (+7) vs WVU (This game has since dropped to almost even after the news broke of Will Grier sitting out. If Eric Dungey is healthy WVU’s defense could be in for a long game.)

Washington State (-3) vs Iowa State (Iowa State plays controlled and methodical. Wazzu plays just the way you’d expect a Mike Leach led team to play. I’ll take the Cougs to pull away late with big plays.)

Michigan (-5.5) vs Florida (This game should not be happening. Florida should be playing UFC and Harbaugh should be scheming against Coach O. The bowl planners failed us all and we’re stuck with another Big Ten-SEC snoozer.)

South Carolina (-4) vs Virginia (Fun Fact: SC is 0-5 against ranked teams and 7-0 against unranked ones. Luckily for them, Virginia isn’t ranked.)

Nevada (EVEN) vs Arkansas State (This one is a toss up but since Nevada’s top two playmakers are named Ty Gangi and Toa Taua, I have to go with the Wolfpack instead of the Red Wolves.)

Clemson (-10) vs Notre Dame (I believe Clemson is the most well-rounded team in the country. Their top ranked D-Line should give Notre Dame plenty of problems and Trevor Lawrence & Co will pick apart the Irish secondary.)

Alabama (-14) vs Oklahoma (Kyler Murray should keep the Sooners in the game but he’s bound to make a mistake at some point for the opportunistic Tide to capitalize on.)

Cincinnati (-4) vs Virginia Tech (Cincy gives up around 16 points/game while VT allows opponents to score over 30. That alone pushes me to take the Bearcats.)

Stanford (-6) vs Pitt (I have watched Pitt lose two consecutive games by a combined 53 points. Stanford is strong enough up front to force the Panthers to pass… which typically means the Panthers will lose.)

Oregon (-1) vs Michigan State (Sparty brings to the table one of the nations best defenses, but simultaneously provides us one the the worst offenses. Oregon should make just enough plays to win.)

Missouri (-7) vs Oklahoma State (With multiple players out for the Pokes and Drew Locke looking to impressive scouts on a national stage, I’m looking for an improving team of Tigers to run away with this one.)

Northwestern (+8.5) vs Utah (After watching Northwestern put up a decent battle against a motivated Ohio State team, I’ll take them at anything over a touchdown against a Ute team that was just held to 3 points by Washington.)

Texas A&M (-4.5) vs NC State (Ryan Finley will have to face a strong Aggies team without his top receiver. The Wolfpack defense will have to stop Kellen Mond without their top linebacker. Not a great recipe for success.)

Iowa (+7.5) vs Miss. State (Big Ten-SEC bowl battles tend to be closer then they should be. This game shouldn’t be close but the Bulldogs have been inconsistent all season.)

UCF (+9.5) vs LSU (My heart says “Geux Tigas” in true Coach O fashion, but my brain tells me this is the Golden Knights super bowl.)

Penn State (-4) vs Kentucky (Trace McSorely should make enough plays to score at least 20 points, which tends to be more than enough to beat the Wildcats by 5.)

Ohio State (-4.5) vs Washington (The Buckeyes send Urban out in his last game… for now… while the Huskies defense struggles to contain Haskins.)

Texas (+12.5) vs Georgia (Georgia should win this game by two scores but I have a feeling the Longhorns will hang around. The Bulldog secondary was exposed by Jalen Hurts which bodes well for Tom Herman’s playmakers.)

Overall: 65-38 (63%)

ATS: 50-32

O/U: 9-4

Gameday: 6-1

Earnings: +$415.85

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