College Football Picks: Week 13

College football lines, spreads and predictions for Week 13

Week 12 Recap: The wins have continued to pile on as we have gone five consecutive weeks with a positive performance. With a record of 10-6 over the weekend, total earnings jumped to $298.55. In this Rivalry Week special, I am looking to break well over $300 with some Thanksgiving weekend winnings.

As a note, all wagers are at -110 odds and I make the majority of my plays
the morning after opening lines have been released. Visit www.vegasinsider.com for updated points and spreads.


Thursday:

Mississippi State (-8.5) at Ole Miss (The Bulldogs hung around against both LSU and Bama. Ole Miss lost by a combined 84 points against those two.) 


Friday:

Nebraska (+11.5) at Iowa (I like Iowa to win the game at home but the Huskers can keep things close. Nebraska has found its way and Scott Frost has the Blackshirts rolling.)

Oregon (-13.5) at Oregon State (The Civil War has been one of the most lopsided college football rivalries and I expect the Ducks offense to have a field day against the lowly Beavers in Corvallis.) 

UCF (-12) at South Florida (UCF is looking to close out a second consecutive undefeated regular season while the Bulls are a stumbling, bumbling mess.)

Oklahoma (-1) at West Virginia (WVU puts up plenty of points but there is one flaw I have noticed in their offense. They currently convert only 41% of their third downs which is nearly 10% less than OU.)

Washington State (-2) at Washington (Mike Leach and his ‘Cougs are on a roll. Washington State gives up points but is also currently 10th in the country in sacks. Pressure could make the difference in the most competitive Apple Cup this rivalry has ever seen.) 


Saturday:

Florida (-3) at Florida State (Picking the Gators to cover the spread has burned me already this year. That being said, the Nole’s are rough and Dan Mullen knows he needs to win the rivalry games to keep the Swamp happy.) 

Georgia Tech (+18.5) vs Georgia (The Bulldogs should pull away in this one but the Yellow Jackets rarely get blown out.) 

Syracuse (+8.5) at Boston College (In a perfect world I would wait to see whether or not ‘Cuse QB Eric Dungey will play. This isn’t a perfect world however and games start Thursday.) 

Michigan (-1.5) at Ohio State (I picked up two points in this game since I think a field goal could decide it. This bet has been placed at -100 odds or a break-even payout.) 

NC State (-6.5) at North Carolina (NC State bounced back against L’ville after a tough stretch. UNC is 2-8 and on the verge of firing their coach. Look for the Wolfpack to take advantage of their beaten down opponent.) 

Stanford (-2.5) at UCLA (Stanford should be rested after their game last week was postponed. The Bruins have looked underwhelming all season and have limited offensive firepower.)  

Northwestern (-16) vs Illinois (The Wildcats are feeling disrespected by the polls as they head into the Battle for Chicago.) 

Auburn (+25.5) at Alabama (The Tide are much better than the Tigers but this is Auburn’s super bowl.)

Tennessee (+4.5) at Vanderbilt (Both teams will be playing for a bowl bid and the Vols have been a mystery all season. I’ll take them at anything over a field goal.) 

Clemson (-20.5) vs South Carolina (Clemson will be sending out arguably its best senior class in school history when they take the field one final time in Death Valley. This game could get out of hand quickly.)

LSU (+3) at Texas A&M (The Tigers have one of the nation’s best defenses while the Aggies have been one of the nation’s most unpredictable teams.) 

Notre Dame (-6.5) at USC (Grabbed this game at the opening line. USC puts up a fight but unfortunately for the Notre Dame haters, myself included, the Irish should dominate.)

Utah (-7.5) vs BYU (The Utes are highly underrated and should dominate the Holy War. I wouldn’t be shocked if they end up as the Pac-12 champs.)

Arizona State (+1.5) vs Arizona (Herm Edwards and Company should pull the upset in this inter-state rivalry game against a hot and cold Wildcat squad.)

Over/Under:

Baylor at Texas Tech (Over 47.5) (Another game that I am confident one team could single-handedly cover. William Hill’s bookie site is banking on a one -sided blowout I’m sure but even that will produce 50+.)  

Oklahoma State at TCU (Over 51.5) (The Poke’s could put up 60 on their own in this one. Not sure why Caesar’s has pinned such a low number to this game but I’ll take it.)  

College Gameday Pick ’em: 

Michigan- 33 Ohio State- 31 (My prediction is that Shea Patterson is finally the difference maker the Wolverines need. With the Buckeyes holding onto a 31-30 lead, Patterson leads UM into field goal range and locks up a Big Ten Championship bid.)

 Overall: 41-25 (62%)

ATS: 31-22

O/U: 5-3

Gameday: 5-0

Earnings: +$298.55

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